On forced temperature changes, internal variability, and the AMO

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

On forced temperature changes, internal variability, and the AMO

We estimate the low-frequency internal variability of Northern Hemisphere (NH)mean temperature using observed temperature variations, which include both forced and internal variability components, and several alternative model simulations of the (natural + anthropogenic) forced component alone. We then generate an ensemble of alternative historical temperature histories based on the statistics ...

متن کامل

Separating Internal Variability from the Externally Forced Climate Response

Separating low-frequency internal variability of the climate system from the forced signal is essential to better understand anthropogenic climate change as well as internal climate variability. Here both synthetic time series and the historical simulations from phase 5 of CMIP (CMIP5) are used to examine several methods of performing this separation. Linear detrending, as is commonly used in s...

متن کامل

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE Tropical Atmospheric Variability Forced by Oceanic Internal Variability

Atmospheric general circulation model experiments are conducted to quantify the contribution of internal oceanic variability in the form of tropical instability waves (TIWs) to interannual wind and rainfall variability in the tropical Pacific. It is found that in the tropical Pacific, along the equator, and near 25°N and 25°S, TIWs force a significant increase in wind and rainfall variability f...

متن کامل

Internal and forced climate variability during the last millennium: a model-data comparison using ensemble simulations

A three-dimensional climate model was used to perform 25 simulations over the last millennium, which are driven by the main natural and anthropogenic forcing. The results are compared to available reconstructions in order to evaluate the relative contribution of internal and forced variability during this period. At hemispheric and nearly hemispheric scale, the impact of the forcing is clear in...

متن کامل

Forced and internal variability of tropical cyclone track density in 1 the western North Pacific

6 Forced interannual-to-decadal variability of annual tropical cyclone (TC) track density in 7 the western North Pacific between 1979-2008 is studied using TC tracks from observations 8 and simulations by a 25-km-resolution version of the GFDL High-Resolution Atmospheric 9 Model (HiRAM) that is forced by observed sea surface temperatures (SSTs). Two modes 10 dominate the decadal variability: a ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Geophysical Research Letters

سال: 2014

ISSN: 0094-8276

DOI: 10.1002/2014gl059233